Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001062 0.001099 0.001137 0.001178 0.001221 0.001266 0.001317
2025-08-31 0.001007 0.001063 0.001121 0.001187 0.001260 0.001338 0.001429
2025-09-07 0.000960 0.001028 0.001102 0.001187 0.001285 0.001394 0.001526
2025-09-14 0.000913 0.000990 0.001074 0.001175 0.001293 0.001429 0.001598
2025-09-21 0.000872 0.000954 0.001047 0.001160 0.001295 0.001453 0.001658
2025-09-28 0.000841 0.000928 0.001028 0.001152 0.001302 0.001484 0.001725
2025-10-05 0.000799 0.000887 0.000989 0.001117 0.001275 0.001469 0.001733
2025-10-12 0.000775 0.000866 0.000973 0.001108 0.001279 0.001493 0.001789
2025-10-19 0.000758 0.000853 0.000965 0.001109 0.001294 0.001530 0.001865
2025-10-26 0.000738 0.000835 0.000950 0.001100 0.001295 0.001548 0.001917
2025-11-02 0.000725 0.000825 0.000944 0.001101 0.001309 0.001584 0.001995
2025-11-09 0.000709 0.000810 0.000932 0.001095 0.001312 0.001605 0.002051
2025-11-16 0.000692 0.000793 0.000918 0.001084 0.001310 0.001618 0.002099
2025-11-23 0.000687 0.000792 0.000922 0.001099 0.001343 0.001683 0.002230
2025-11-30 0.000677 0.000785 0.000919 0.001103 0.001360 0.001726 0.002330
2025-12-07 0.000663 0.000771 0.000906 0.001094 0.001359 0.001742 0.002387
2025-12-14 0.000647 0.000755 0.000891 0.001081 0.001352 0.001747 0.002426
2025-12-21 0.000635 0.000744 0.000881 0.001074 0.001352 0.001764 0.002487
2025-12-28 0.000614 0.000720 0.000854 0.001043 0.001317 0.001724 0.002445
2026-01-04 0.000604 0.000709 0.000844 0.001036 0.001316 0.001737 0.002498
2026-01-11 0.000596 0.000703 0.000840 0.001037 0.001326 0.001770 0.002588
2026-01-18 0.000586 0.000693 0.000830 0.001029 0.001323 0.001779 0.002637
2026-01-25 0.000580 0.000688 0.000827 0.001030 0.001334 0.001813 0.002734